Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.132376 0.146998 0.161954 0.178355 0.195797 0.213755 0.233603
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.116484 0.137153 0.159057 0.183866 0.211057 0.239830 0.272456
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.102361 0.127016 0.153973 0.185356 0.220617 0.258756 0.302873
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.090007 0.117355 0.148133 0.184861 0.227034 0.273513 0.328184
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.080752 0.110235 0.144304 0.185860 0.234484 0.288935 0.353881
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.071945 0.102788 0.139359 0.184907 0.239146 0.300778 0.375217
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.066740 0.099225 0.138608 0.188528 0.248843 0.318195 0.402807
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.060704 0.094088 0.135497 0.188925 0.254413 0.330592 0.424442
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.055142 0.089102 0.132189 0.188740 0.259010 0.341643 0.444367
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.049695 0.083835 0.128158 0.187335 0.261859 0.350419 0.461469
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.045995 0.080661 0.126595 0.188839 0.268131 0.363201 0.483279
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043866 0.079514 0.127570 0.193496 0.278269 0.380645 0.510708
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039981 0.075644 0.124790 0.193260 0.282334 0.390860 0.529716
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.038278 0.074858 0.126120 0.198370 0.293175 0.409433 0.558951
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035437 0.072138 0.124611 0.199584 0.298950 0.421714 0.580535
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032252 0.068634 0.121803 0.198887 0.302138 0.430704 0.598055
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029828 0.066147 0.120299 0.199845 0.307397 0.442243 0.618711
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027052 0.062858 0.117450 0.198800 0.309915 0.450255 0.634963
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025775 0.061985 0.118097 0.202572 0.318785 0.466324 0.661280
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.023746 0.059646 0.116419 0.202976 0.323097 0.476552 0.680296
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021733 0.057164 0.114392 0.202777 0.326523 0.485602 0.697823
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019597 0.054261 0.111564 0.201302 0.328127 0.492244 0.712281
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.018275 0.052775 0.110878 0.202876 0.333855 0.504219 0.733513